Tropical Storm Rafael tracker: Latest path, spaghetti models

ORLANDO, Fla. - Tropical Storm Rafael formed Monday afternoon in the Caribbean Sea, where it is expected to cross Jamaica, the Grand Cayman Islands, and Cuba, before entering the Gulf of Mexico this week. It is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane before weakening back down to a tropical storm in the Gulf.

Will it hit Florida? Tropical storm watches have been issued for the Florida Keys, though the system is expected to stay west of Florida's Gulf Coast.

Here is the latest path and spaghetti models for Rafael:

Tropical Storm Rafael

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Here is the latest potential path for Tropical Storm Rafael, which formed Monday in the Caribbean. It's expected to become a hurricane this week over Cuba and then enter the Gulf of Mexico, where it is expected to weaken.

Tropical Storm Rafael spaghetti models

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Spaghetti models for Tropical Storm Rafael. Rafael formed in the Caribbean and is expected to become a hurricane before reaching the Gulf of Mexico, and gradually weakening back down to a tropical storm, according to the National Hurricane Center.

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