Orlando weather: Thunderstorms leave warm, very humid conditions overnight across Central Florida

Dry air moving aloft is expected to decrease storm activity on Thursday. However, a few isolated storms may still develop, moving westward across the Peninsula. 

High temperatures will reach the low 90s, with heat index values between 100 and 105 degrees each afternoon before any storms occur.

From Friday into the weekend and early next week, the region will see a return to a more typical 60% daily chance of thunderstorms. By next week, a shift to a more southerly flow is expected, bringing more storms to the area, unlike this week when storms peaked around the I-75 corridor and Tampa Bay region.

Tracking the Tropics

The tropics remain unusually quiet with no immediate threats. Currently, only one wave has a 20% chance of development. There are indications that this wave could attempt to develop next week as it approaches the Caribbean or the Bahamas, but the chances remain low and not concerning at this time. Another wave, emerging off the coast of Africa, might have a better chance of developing in early September.

The recent quiet spell in the tropics is attributed to tropical waves emerging from Africa too far north and increased wind shear. Despite the calm, sea surface temperatures in the Gulf, Atlantic, and Caribbean are near or at historic highs. This means any future storm could still rapidly intensify or reach higher categories on the Saffir-Simpson scale. For now, however, there are no imminent threats.

Orlando Weather Radar: Here is a current look


 

Tracking The Tropics

Two disturbances in the Atlantic are being monitored by the National Hurricane Center. One is located off the coast of Africa, while the other is in the central Atlantic, several hundred miles from Bermuda. Both have low chances of development over the next seven days.

Reasons why the season has been oddly quiet of late are because the waves have come off Africa too far north, and there has been too much wind shear out there. Water temps. in the Gulf, Atlantic, and Caribbean all remain near or at historical highs, so concern is still there for any storm to rapidly intensify or get into the upper categories on the Saffir Simpson scale should they form the rest of the season. For now, nothing is imminent.