Orlando weather: Rain will be concentrated over western counties Friday, highs in upper 80s to low 90s

Chances improve for disturbance in Gulf of Mexico

Conditions are improving for a tropical disturbance to form over the Gulf of Mexico this coming weekend. Regardless of intensity, this system is expected to move over Florida next week, producing heavy rain and possible threats of flooding.

Thunderstorms across Florida will follow an east-to-west flow Friday and Saturday, pushing most storms toward the Gulf of Mexico in the afternoons.

Central Florida will see minimal rain, with storm activity concentrated around Tampa Bay on Friday evening and fewer storms expected near Orlando.

LOOKING AHEAD: Rain chances will increase on Sunday and continue into Monday, with showers likely each afternoon and evening.

Tracking the Tropics

The National Hurricane Center forecasts the system in the Gulf has a medium (40%) chance of developing quickly. The impact on Florida remains unchanged with lots of rain and the potential for flooding.

If it becomes a named storm, the name would be Milton. You can see a more detailed tropical forecast from the FOX 35 Storm Team here.

Behind next week's system, it looks like we'll sample the first stretch of cooler weather since Spring, with highs in the low-to-mid 80s along with lower humidity.