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Tropics update: New disturbance could form in the Gulf
FOX 35 Storm Team Meteorologist T.J. Springer is tracking a number of disturbances in the Caribbean and the Atlantic. Here is the latest.
ORLANDO, Fl - As Florida continues to clean up from Hurricane Helene, odds are increasing for the potential development of a tropical depression in the western Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico. If it develops further into a tropical storm, the next storm names on the list are Kirk, Leslie, and Milton.
The odds of development for this potential tropical disturbance over the next seven days are at 50%, according to the National Hurricane Center.
In its Saturday morning update, the NHC said a broad area of low pressure over the wester Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized shows and thunderstorms, though gradual development is possible.
Like Helene, the Central American Gyre (CAG) is influencing this system, said FOX 35 meteorologist T.J. Springer. It is forecast to move into the Gulf of Mexico.
It's still too soon to know where this system, if it ultimately develops, will go, and how it may impact the United States' Gulf coast, including Florida.
Models, Springer said, show various outcomes at this point, but suggest a tropical storm could form.
Four other systems being watched in the Atlantic: Hurricane Isaac, Tropical Storm Joyce, 2 disturbances
There are four other disturbances being monitored in the Atlantic, including Hurricane Isaac and Tropical Storm Joyce. Both Isaac and Joyce have no impact in the United States. Both are far out in the Atlantic Ocean and are expected to fizzle over the next few days.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic
Behind Joyce is a disturbance, known as Invest 90L, which has a 90% chance of further development. A tropical depression could form as early as tonight or early this week, the NHC said.
This system is located several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. It's expected to move westward and then turn northward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
Behind Invest 90 is a tropical wave near the coast of western Africa. That potential system has limited showers and thunderstorms, the NHC said.
Upper-level winds may allow gradual development of this system over the next several days. In its latest update, this disturbance has a 30% chance of development over the next week.